Newsig · Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting
Why it matters
SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) · Why linked: Fed economic projections and dot plot heavily influence equity risk premium Market context: Neutral — impact depends on rate path and growth/inflation outlook revisions
DXY (US Dollar Index) · Why linked: Dot plot and rate path directly shape dollar positioning Market context: Neutral — direction depends on relative growth/inflation signals
TLT (20+ Year Treasury) · Why linked: Long-duration treasuries reprice on Fed projections of terminal rate Market context: Neutral — higher projected terminal rate pressures TLT; lower supports it
How SPY, TLT usually react
This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.
| Asset | Events | Avg max move | Closed lower |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 10 | +0.67% | 70% |
| TLT | 9 | +0.62% | 67% |
Curated by Newsig — News in. Signal out.
How the reaction data is measured · Editorial policy