Newsig · Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
Why it matters
SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) · Why linked: FOMC decisions drive broad equity index direction via rate expectations Market context: Neutral — outcome depends on hawkish/dovish guidance; high volatility expected
DXY (US Dollar Index) · Why linked: Rate differentials set by the Fed directly influence dollar strength Market context: Neutral — direction depends on dot plot and forward guidance
TLT (20+ Year Treasury) · Why linked: Treasuries reprice immediately on Fed rate decisions and guidance Market context: Neutral — dovish surprise would lift TLT; hawkish surprise would pressure it
QQQ (Invesco QQQ) · Why linked: Growth-heavy Nasdaq ETF is most sensitive to rate path changes Market context: Neutral — rate-cut dovishness would support QQQ; hawkish surprise would hurt it
How SPY, TLT, QQQ usually react
This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.
| Asset | Events | Avg max move | Closed lower |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 10 | +0.67% | 70% |
| TLT | 9 | +0.62% | 67% |
| QQQ | 3 | +1.28% | 67% |
Curated by Newsig — News in. Signal out.
How the reaction data is measured · Editorial policy