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Live updates: Bitcoin below $84,000 ahead of PCE inflation data, Micron earnings

Traders are waiting on the Fed's favored inflation gauge after a month of oil-driven rate-hike bets that sent 30-year Treasury yields to their highest since 2002.

Why it matters

BTC (Bitcoin) · Why linked: Bitcoin price is explicitly mentioned moving below $84,000 ahead of key macro data. Market context: BTC is trading lower as traders await the PCE inflation print, with rate-hike bets adding pressure.

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) · Why linked: The PCE inflation gauge is the Fed's preferred measure and directly impacts equity valuations. Market context: A hot PCE reading could intensify rate-hike expectations and pressure equities, while a soft print may support risk assets.

TLT (20+ Year Treasury) · Why linked: Long-duration Treasuries are directly tied to the 30-year yield noted in the article. Market context: Treasury yields at multi-decade highs reflect hawkish rate repricing; PCE data is the next catalyst for direction.

CL (Crude Oil (WTI)) · Why linked: Oil-driven inflation concerns are driving the rate-hike bets discussed in the article. Market context: Elevated oil prices are feeding into inflation expectations and influencing the Fed outlook.

How BTC, SPY, TLT, CL usually react

This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.

AssetEventsAvg max moveClosed lower
BTC4+1.58%25%
SPY15+0.71%67%
TLT13+0.65%69%
CL134+3.13%40%

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How the reaction data is measured · Editorial policy