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Preview: TSMC tipped for sixth straight record quarter, with profit seen up 65% on AI demand

For Asian equities, TSMC’s results are a bellwether for the whole AI supply chain, and its weight in Taiwan’s benchmark means the guidance will likely move the index as much as the profit figure. A raise to the low-to-mid 40% range for full-year revenue growth, as Morgan Stanley expects, would reinf

Why it matters

TSM (TSMC) · Why linked: Article is directly about TSMC's upcoming earnings report and AI-driven profit growth expectations. Market context: A sixth consecutive record and 65% profit jump on AI demand would reinforce bullish momentum in the stock heading into the print.

SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) · Why linked: TSMC results are flagged as a bellwether for the entire AI semiconductor supply chain. Market context: Strong TSMC guidance would support sector-wide sentiment and lift semiconductor ETFs alongside TSM cap moves.

NVDA (NVIDIA) · Why linked: NVIDIA is the dominant AI chip customer driving TSMC's foundry demand. Market context: Confirmation of sustained AI demand growth at TSMC validates continued strong orders from NVIDIA.

EWT (iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF) · Why linked: TSMC's outsized weight in Taiwan's benchmark means results materially move the index. Market context: A strong TSMC print would likely push Taiwan's benchmark higher after the announcement.

How SOXX, NVDA usually react

This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.

AssetEventsAvg max moveClosed lower
SOXX9+1.75%44%
NVDA20+1.91%25%

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