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Goldman: Persian Gulf oil exports back at 2025 average after doubling in September

Goldman's estimate reinforces the supply-recovery theme that pushed Brent down circa 2.5% to around $103 on Tuesday, while WTI held below $90 on Wednesday and remains on course for a third straight monthly gain. Goldman said in a late-August note that rising dark flows could moderate the upside for

Why it matters

BZ (Brent Crude Oil) · Why linked: Goldman report notes Brent fell ~2.5% to ~$103 on Persian Gulf supply recovery, directly impacting Brent prices. Market context: Persian Gulf oil exports returning to 2025 average signals supply normalization, which pressures Brent prices downward.

CL (Crude Oil (WTI)) · Why linked: Article highlights WTI holding below $90 amid the same Goldman supply-recovery assessment. Market context: Rising Gulf exports reinforce a supply-recovery narrative, adding downward pressure on WTI.

GS (Goldman Sachs) · Why linked: Goldman Sachs is the source of the supply-recovery estimate driving the oil price reaction. Market context: Goldman's research call is influencing short-term crude sentiment, which can affect its commodities franchise reputation and trading revenue.

How BZ, CL usually react

This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.

AssetEventsAvg max moveClosed lower
BZ128+2.87%39%
CL134+3.13%40%

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How the reaction data is measured · Editorial policy