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U.S. reportedly considers use of 'mother of all bombs' as Iran vows to fight on

The U.S. military has reportedly drawn up options for strikes on Iran that include the potential use of one of the biggest non-nuclear bombs in its arsenal.

Why it matters

CL (Crude Oil (WTI)) · Why linked: Potential U.S. strikes on Iran using its largest non-nuclear bomb would be a major escalation affecting Middle East oil supply. Market context: A direct U.S. military strike on Iran would likely spike crude prices sharply on supply-disruption fears.

BZ (Brent Crude Oil) · Why linked: Brent tracks Middle East geopolitical risk premiums and would react strongly to a U.S.-Iran escalation. Market context: Brent would likely surge on heightened geopolitical risk and potential Strait of Hormuz disruption fears.

XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund) · Why linked: Energy equities benefit from rising oil prices driven by Middle East conflict risk. Market context: Energy sector ETF likely to rally alongside crude on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions.

LMT (Lockheed Martin) · Why linked: The GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb is produced by an affiliate of Lockheed Martin-related defense contractors and any major deployment boosts defense spending expectations. Market context: Defense stocks likely to rise on signals of expanded U.S. military action in the Middle East.

How CL, BZ, XLE, LMT usually react

This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.

AssetEventsAvg max moveClosed lower
CL182+2.93%40%
BZ173+2.74%39%
XLE144+1.51%40%
LMT3+1.83%67%

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