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Newsig · Financial Times

Betting on the yen: the risks of the carry trade

As Japan’s central bank tightens monetary policy, investors who leveraged its currency for higher yields may be forced into a sell-off

Why it matters

USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) · Why linked: Japan's monetary tightening and unwinding of yen carry trades directly affects the yen exchange rate. Market context: Higher Japanese rates may strengthen the yen, forcing a unwind of leveraged carry trades.

EWJ (Japan ETF) · Why linked: Japanese monetary policy normalization impacts Japanese equities and capital flows. Market context: Tighter Bank of Japan policy could pressure Japanese equities through higher borrowing costs and yen volatility.

How EWJ usually react

This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.

AssetEventsAvg max moveClosed lower
EWJ4+0.91%50%

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