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Iran's Araqchi will meet with mediators in New York today

Iran foreign minister Araghchi remains in New York following the UN, raising hopes for a deal. Oil is higher today after Trump rejected an initial offer from Iran but it looks like diplomacy isn't dead. I find it very difficult for either side to make a deal at this point, as Iran could see any

Why it matters

CL (Crude Oil (WTI)) · Why linked: Iran-US diplomatic developments directly affect the prospect of sanctions relief and Iranian oil supply. Market context: Diplomatic talks keeping the status quo support oil near recent highs, with upside if talks collapse.

BZ (Brent Crude Oil) · Why linked: Iran nuclear/regional talks influence Middle East supply expectations affecting global benchmark crude. Market context: Continued uncertainty around Iranian supply and Strait of Hormuz risk supports Brent.

How CL, BZ usually react

This story is too recent for its own reaction record — we score each asset against the actual price move 24h after publication. These are the long-run figures across every event we have tracked for them.

AssetEventsAvg max moveClosed lower
CL128+3.10%38%
BZ121+2.86%38%

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How the reaction data is measured · Editorial policy